Where you should put your money on the Test matches this weekend, according to MARK KEOHANE.

Wales vs Springboks

The Boks let themselves down against Italy. As they had done two weeks earlier against Ireland, they arrived in Padova overconfident and almost left humiliated. They won't make the same mistake against Wales.

Once again the Welsh came up short against one of the big southern hemisphere nations. As one scribe put it, they would've beaten all three this year if rugby matches ended at 60 minutes. They don't. They last 80 minutes, 85 if you're playing the All Blacks.

I expect Wales to follow the script against the Boks. They'll be competitive for 60 minutes, before the Bok bench takes the match away from them in the final quarter. From a betting perspective, you can back the Boks on the 'cap (to win by seven points or more) at 9/10.

England vs Wallabies

Despite their results suggesting otherwise, Australia have improved as the November Tests have worn on. Against Ireland at the weekend, they played some of their best rugby this year and they are slowly starting to take to Michael Cheika's philosophy. I tipped them to beat Ireland and, if it weren't for a slow start, they would've.

England, however, have been lacking in recent weeks. They were poor against the All Blacks and Springboks, where they failed to create any opportunities and played much of the game behind the gainline. I don't expect the inclusion of George Ford to greatly alter their fortunes, and I've got the Wallabies to be at least five points better here. You can get them at 15/10 at the bookies, pretty decent value for a side with a positive record at Twickenham.

Keo's weekend picks
Springboks (-6.5) 9/10
Australia 15/10
Double 4/1

Photo: Dirk Kotze/Gallo Images