SA Rugby magazine
X
  • Home
  • Springboks
  • Vodacom URC
  • Videos
  • Cars
    • Cheap cars for sale
    • Used Cars For Sale
    • New Cars For Sale
    • Demo Cars For Sale
  • Deals
    • One Day Deals
    • Nationwide Deals
      • Deals in Cape Town
      • Deals in Johannesburg
      • Deals in Durban
      • Deals in Pretoria
      • Deals in Port Elizabeth
    • Accommodation Deals
    • Romantic Getaways
    • Food and Drink Deals
    • Experiences
    • Health and Wellness Deals

SA Rugby magazine SA Rugby magazine – Latest South African rugby news

South African rugby news, interviews, videos and more. Covering the Springboks, Bulls, Stormers, Sharks, Cheetahs and Lions, as well as schools and club rugby.

Primary Menu Search
SA Rugby magazine
  • Home
  • Springboks
  • Vodacom URC
  • Videos
  • Cars
    • Cheap cars for sale
    • Used Cars For Sale
    • New Cars For Sale
    • Demo Cars For Sale
  • Deals
    • One Day Deals
    • Nationwide Deals
      • Deals in Cape Town
      • Deals in Johannesburg
      • Deals in Durban
      • Deals in Pretoria
      • Deals in Port Elizabeth
    • Accommodation Deals
    • Romantic Getaways
    • Food and Drink Deals
    • Experiences
    • Health and Wellness Deals
You are here: Home ∼ Bet on Boks to beat France by four-plus

Bet on Boks to beat France by four-plus

Malcolm Marx on the run Boks
Standard published on November 9, 2018

Betting is so much more than just taking a flier, writes THE MONEY MAN in his column for Independent Newspapers.

The purpose of this column is to educate people about making the right bet. Last week I picked the Springboks to beat England. It was the right bet, but the wrong result because of the Boks’ inability to turn absolute first-half dominance into points. There was also the missed penalty from Handre Pollard and the penalty that never was in relation to the Owen Farrell ‘no arms’ tackle.

The right bet this weekend is for a Bok win against France in Paris.

I can’t stress enough that making the right bet is on the likelihood of the outcome. It’s about understanding why you are making the bet and not just taking a flier. I am not going to change my analysis, which is to look for the best probable outcome.

This week my focus is on three matches: England vs New Zealand, Wales vs Australia and France vs South Africa.

The bookmakers have a three-and-a-half-point handicap for the Bok Test in Paris. If you think the Boks will win by four or more you give the points at minus three and a half. If you think France will win or not lose by four or more you take the points at plus three and a half.

I believe the Boks will win by four or more for these reasons:

France have won twice and drawn once in the last 15 Tests – and that draw was at home against Japan.

The Boks, even throughout the Allister Coetzee era, were comfortably dominant against France and have won the last six encounters between the two teams.

France currently (and for the past few years) haven’t been good enough to compete with the top five teams. They have consistently been ranked eighth or ninth in the world.

Frankly, the Boks are simply a much better team than France.

Therefore, I am taking the Boks at minus three and half to win by four or more. I am putting down R1,000 to win back R1,900.

The bookies started the week installing New Zealand as 11-and-half-point favourites. That has moved out to 14 and half. The 22% movement in handicap worries me because three points is a big differential at Twickenham, especially with poor weather conditions predicted. My call is the All Blacks to win by 15, but this is one I am not betting on.

Wales have lost the last 13 Tests to Australia, yet the bookies have Australia as 12/10 underdogs. It’s a good punt to back history here and I am putting R1,000 on Australia to win to get back R2,200.

– Ferguson, who writes as Money Man, is Highbury Media’s chief executive. He is SA’s leading sports betting analyst. Interact with him on www.moneymansa.co.za

Posted in Springboks, Test Rugby Tagged France, Rugby, Springboks, Test Rugby, The Moneyman

Post by SA Rugby magazine

← Previous Next →

Bok blanks will trouble ‘Sheriff’ Rassie

South Africa overpowered Italy in their 2025 Test opener, but a mixed...

Guys, cut Willie some slack

It would be a rugby travesty if Willie le Roux were to...

World Rugby deserves a rebel league

Rebel rugby is coming, and for players it's the deal Test rugby...

Razor’s edgy All Blacks must get real

The All Blacks, once comfortable in their own skin, now seem to...

Dupont the greatest? Hold your GOATs!

Antoine Dupont will finish his career as one of the game's most...

Ode to World Cup final

The ball was in play for 38 minutes in the 2023 Rugby...

Please Boks, never change

The world champion Springboks have to evolve their personnel, but not their...

Mr. Rugby on the Modern Game

Thanks to the wonders of artificial intelligence, we can now go beyond...

Rassie ref hom in die rooi

Rassie Erasmus is hardly the embarrassment that some are making him out...

Boks need to make mentality adjustment

The Springboks need to lose their underdog mentality, writes SIMNIKIWE XABANISA in...

Kolbe’s worth every penny

Cheslin Kolbe’s big-money move to Toulon should be welcomed as a massive...

Top six: Best and worst foreign imports

SARugbymag.co.za identifies six of the best and worst foreign players to play...

VIEW MORE
  • LIVE: Springboks vs Italy
  • LIVE: Junior Boks vs England U20
  • LIVE: Waratahs vs British & Irish Lions
  • LIVE: All Blacks vs France
    Photo: Anton Geyser/Gallo Images
  • KLA dazzles for dull Boks

  • Contact us
  • Terms and conditions
  • Privacy Policy
  • Competitions
  • Videos
  • Player Features
  • Joburg Etc
  • African Insider News
  • Rugby Championship
  • Super Rugby
  • Currie Cup
  • Varsity Cup
  • Gold Cup
  • Schools
  • Schools
  • SA Cup
  • Six Nations
  • Champions Cup
  • World Cup
  • Challenge Cup
Contact Us on WhatsApp

Connect with us on WhatsApp

CAPE TOWN OFFICE: 36 Old Mill Road, Ndabeni, Maitland, 7405, Western Cape > Telephone: (021) 530 3300 > Fax: (021) 530 3333
©Copyright 2025 SA Rugby magazine

Primary Menu

  • Home
  • Springboks
  • Vodacom URC
  • Videos
  • Cars
    • Cheap cars for sale
    • Used Cars For Sale
    • New Cars For Sale
    • Demo Cars For Sale
  • Deals
    • One Day Deals
    • Nationwide Deals
      • Deals in Cape Town
      • Deals in Johannesburg
      • Deals in Durban
      • Deals in Pretoria
      • Deals in Port Elizabeth
    • Accommodation Deals
    • Romantic Getaways
    • Food and Drink Deals
    • Experiences
    • Health and Wellness Deals

×